📏 Form Guide

Melbourne Victory

DWDDWW 📈

Melbourne Victory, buoyed by their previous result, will be hoping for more of the same after the 4-1 A-League triumph versus Central Coast Mariners.

In that game, Melbourne Victory had 57% possession and 34 shots on goal with 12 of them on target. For Melbourne Victory, the scorers were Nishan Velupillay (50'), Mata (54'), Nikos Vergos (91') and Jason Davidson (94'). For their opponents, Central Coast Mariners got 13 shots at goal with 5 on target. Sabit James Ngor (7') scored for Central Coast Mariners.

Melbourne Victory have not been the best at stopping their opponents of late, but they’ve also found ways to score goals themselves. Looking at their last 6 games, Melbourne Victory have seen their goal breached in 6 of them while also scoring in 6 of those games.

Looking at the pre-match facts, Melbourne Victory:

• haven't lost in the league to Wellington Phoenix in their previous 4 matches.
• are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches at home.

Wellington Phoenix

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Wellington Phoenix will go into this clash after a 1-2 A-League win to beat Brisbane Roar in their previous match.

In that game, Wellington Phoenix managed 42% possession and 13 shots at goal with 5 of them on target. For Wellington Phoenix, the goals were scored by Corban Piper (36') and Ifeanyi Eze (86'). For their opponents, Brisbane Roar had 20 shots on goal with 6 on target. James McGarry (14') scored for Brisbane Roar.

The stats don’t lie, and Wellington Phoenix have been scored against in 5 of their last 6 matches, with opponents netting 10 goals in all. At the back, Wellington Phoenix just haven’t been too solid at all. In any event, we must now wait to see if such a trend will be sustained in this upcoming game.

Their previous form shows that Wellington Phoenix:

• have not registered a win against Melbourne Victory when they have played them away from home in the previous 11 league matches. A very poor set of away results, indeed.
• haven't been defeated in their previous 3 away league matches.

↔️ Head to head

Inspecting their most recent head-to-head meetings stretching back to 18/05/2024 tells us that Melbourne Victory have won 5 of them and Wellington Phoenix 1, with the tally of drawn games being 0.

A combined sum of 21 goals were produced between them in these games, with 14 from Victory and 7 netted by The Nix. That is an average goals per game value of 3.5.

The previous league fixture between these clubs was A-League match day 16 on 06/02/2026 when it finished Wellington Phoenix 2-3 Melbourne Victory.

On that day, Wellington Phoenix managed 57% possession and 8 attempts at goal with 3 on target. The scorer was Carlo Armiento (39').

Melbourne Victory got 12 attempts at goal with 6 on target. Sebastian Esposito (10'), Nishan Velupillay (44'), Louis D'Arrigo (77') and Miranda (84' Own goal) scored.

The match was refereed by Jack Morgan.

📰 Team News: Melbourne Victory

It’s our opinion that Victory will probably employ a 4-2-3-1 system in the match featuring Jack Warshawsky, Joshua Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Franco Lino, Denis Genreau, Jordi Valadon, Keegan Jelacic, Juan Mata, Nishan Velupillay and Nikolaos Vergos.

ℹ️ Team News: Wellington Phoenix

We are inclined to think that The Nix will likely utilise a 4-4-2 formation, giving starts to Josh Oluwayemi, Matthew Sheridan, Isaac Robert Hughes, Bill Poni Tuiloma, Dan Edwards, Paulo Retre, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa, Ramy Najjarine, Ifeanyi Eze and Corban Piper.

🧠 Prediction

We’re inclined to think that Melbourne Victory have it within them to dominate on the ball and be rewarded with decent chances.

In contrast, Wellington Phoenix could well struggle to get a goal of their own but we do think that it’s more than likely that they will be converting at least once here, too.

We reckon that it will be a pretty comfortable 3-1 margin for Melbourne Victory at full-time.

Renata Leite, 04:11 05/04/2026